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Bias and Non-Response

Methodological developments and applications for the measurement of non-response in surveys and for the correction of their effects, especially the biases that can be introduced in the inferential process.

Ecological Inference

Discovery of individual behaviours from aggregated information.

Electoral prediction

Application and development of models for electoral prediction.

Longitudinal and survival data joint models

Longitudinal and survival data joint models with time or survival targets are studied, with special emphasis on dynamic predictive targets.

Model selection

Our group addresses the problem of model selection from a Bayesian target point of view. We particularly work on the study of criteria that allow us to establish optimal prior distributions in order to carry out an effective selection and modeling.

Multiple imputation

Methodological and software developments to find solutions to the problem of partial non-response in surveys and gaps in databases.

Social networks

Methodological developments and applications for active listening on the Internet, favouring the identification of feelings and authors to convert the huge flows of data and opinions into information.

Spatio-temporal disease surveillance

Development of statistical methodologies for the rapid and reliable detection of influenza epidemics. We approach the inference and prediction of these models from the Bayesian paradigm, which allows the implementation of complex models with spatial, temporal and hierarchical structures.

Species distribution models

Development of models to predict the spatial and spatial-temporal distribution of species. The incorporation of uncertainty in covariates, the problems generated by missing values, the effect of preferential sampling and the handling of large volumes of data are addressed.

Surveys and polls

Analysis and preparation of opinion surveys and polls.