% MacrosBasic May 16, 2005


\input MacrosMac
\def\b#1{\hbox{\bmath $#1$}}
\def\smb#1{{\fsize{9}\b{#1}}}
\def\mft#1{\hbox{\mf $#1$}}
\def\sm#1{{\fsize{9}\mft{#1}}}


% Time and date
\def\today{\ifcase\month\or
   January\or February\or March\or April\or May\or June\or
   July\or August\or September\or October\or November\or
   December\fi\space\number\day, \number\year}
\def\hour{\num=\time \divide\num by60 \number\num h\
     \multiply\num by 60 \np=\time \advance\np by-\num\number\np}
\def\dated{\ff\vskip-30mm\nid Typesetted on \today, at \hour\vskip30mm}


% Style definitions
\def\hugeskip{\vskip18pt plus6pt minus6pt}
\def\Hugeskip{\vskip24pt plus8pt minus6pt}
\def\closeup#1{\nobreak\ff\vskip-#1\baselineskip\nobreak}
\let\ce=\centerline
\def\bqo{\begingroup\fsize{10}\medbreak\narrower}
\def\bqos#1#2{\begingroup\fsize{#1}\parindent#2mm\medbreak\narrower}
\def\eqo{\medbreak\endgroup}
\def\rule{\medskip\hrule\medskip}
\let\ph=\phantom
\let\bgr=\begingroup
\let\egr=\endgroup
\def\nid{\noindent\ignorespaces}
\def\0{\hfil\break}
\def\w#1{\hbox{#1}}
\def\wq#1{\quad\hbox{#1}\quad}
\def\blistp#1{\smallskip\begingroup\parindent#1pt\parskip0pt}
\def\blist{\blistp{20}}
\def\elist{\par\endgroup\smallskip}
\def\ite#1{\smallbreak\item{{#1}}\ignorespaces}
\def\iteb#1{\item{{\bf #1}}\ignorespaces}
\def\itt#1{\smallbreak\itemitem{{#1}}\ignorespaces}
\def\itebul{\smallbreak\ite{$\bullet$}\ignorespaces}
\def\ittbul{\smallbreak\itt{$\bullet$}\ignorespaces}
\def\bdir{\vskip\parskip\begingroup\obeylines\parskip0pt}
\def\edir={\endgroup\vskip\parskip}
\newcount\nueq
\nueq=0
\def\eq#1{\advance\nueq by1\vskip4pt plus1pt
   \leftline{$\displaystyle{#1}\hfill(\number\nueq)$}\vskip1pt plus1pt\0\noindent}
\def\ok{\nobreak\quad\lower.5ex\hbox{$\triangleleft$} \bigbreak}
\def\leftok{\par\vskip-4mm\hfill$\triangleleft$\medskip}

% Special character definitions
\def\bul{$\bullet$~}
\let\ff=\strut
\let\union=\cup
\let\inter=\cap
\def\m#1{\;\raise2pt\hbox{#1}}
\def\boxit#1#2#3{\leavevmode\hbox{\vrule\vtop{\vbox{\hrule\kern#3pt
     \hbox{\kern#2pt{#1}\kern#2pt}}\kern#3pt\hrule}\vrule}}
\def\rect#1{\boxit{#1}{2}{2}}
\def\up#1#2#3#4{\hskip2mm\hbox{$#1$}
               \kern-#3mm\raise#4mm\hbox{$#2$}\hskip2mm}

% Abbreviations
\def\etal{{\it et al.\ }}
\def\etalc{{\it et al., }}
\def\ie{{\it i.e.},\ }
\def\eg{{\it e.g.},\ }
\def\row#1#2{\hbox{${#1}_1,\ldots,{#1}_{#2}$}}
\def\data{\row{x}{n}}
\def\bdata{\{\row{x}{n}\}}
\def\brow#1#2{\hbox{$\{{#1}_1,\ldots,{#1}_{#2}\}$}}
\def\range#1#2{\hbox{${#1},\ldots,{#2}$}}
\def\brange#1#2{\hbox{$\{{#1},\ldots,{#2}\}$}}



% General Mathematics
\def\conv{\mathop{\to}}
\def\plim{\mathop{\rm plim}}
\def\blim{\mathop{\rm blim}}
\def\sech{\mathop{\rm sech}}
\def\tr{\mathop{\rm tr}}
\def\diag{\mathop{\rm diag}}
\def\barx{\hbox{$\overline x$}}
\def\bary{\hbox{$\overline y$}}
\def\frac#1#2{{#1\over#2}}
\def\ontop#1#2{{#1\atop#2}}
\def\comb#1#2{{#1\choose#2}}
\def\g{\,\vert\,}
\def\dd#1{\,d#1}
\def\indic#1{\hbox{$\,\b{1}_{#1}\,$}}
\def\h{\hbox{$1\over2$}}
\def\hh#1#2{\hbox{$#1\over#2$}}
\def\bfuno{\hbox{{\bf 1}}}

% Functions
\def\fn#1{\hbox{{\tf#1}}}
\def\Pr{\fn{Pr}}
\def\P{\fn{P}}
\def\D{\fn{D}}
\def\E{\fn{E}}
\def\Mo{\fn{Mo}}
\def\Me{\fn{Me}}
\def\Cov{\fn{Cov}}
\def\Var{\fn{Var}}
\def\Corr{\fn{Corr}}
\def\Q{\fn{Q}}

% Distributions
\def\fni#1{\hbox{{#1}}}
\def\Bb{\fni{Bb}}
\def\Be{\fni{Be}}
\def\Bi{\fni{Bi}}
\def\Br{\fni{Br}}
\def\Ca{\fni{Ca}}
\def\Cef{\fni{Cef}}
\def\Di{\fni{Di}}
\def\Ef{\fni{Ef}}
\def\Ex{\fni{Ex}}
\def\Fs{\fni{Fs}}
\def\Ga{\fni{Ga}}
\def\Ge{\fni{Ge}}
\def\Gg{\fni{Gg}}
\def\Hy{\fni{Hy}}
\def\Ig{\fni{Ig}}
\def\Ip{\fni{Ip}}
\def\Lo{\fni{Lo}}
\def\Md{\fni{Md}}
\def\Mu{\fni{Mu}}
\def\N{\fni{N}}
\def\Nb{\fni{Nb}}
\def\Nbb{\fni{Nbb}}
\def\Ng{\fni{Ng}}
\def\Nw{\fni{Nw}}
\def\Pa{\fni{Pa}}
\def\Po{\fni{Po}}
\def\Pg{\fni{Pg}}
\def\Pn{\fni{Pn}}
\def\Ra{\fni{Ra}}
\def\St{\fni{St}}
\def\Un{\fni{Un}}
\def\Wi{\fni{Wi}}


% Tables
\let\\=\cr
\def\tsize#1{\font\ftit=HelveticaB at #1pt}
\def\cta#1{{\fsize{10}\vskip-2\baselineskip\baselineskip=10pt\ff
            \tabskip=2em$$\vbox{\ialign
            {\hfil##\hfil&&\quad\hfil##\hfil\crcr#1\crcr}}$$}}
\def\lta#1{{\fsize{10}\vskip-2\baselineskip\baselineskip=10pt\ff
            \tabskip=2em$$\vbox{\ialign
            {##\hfil&&\quad##\hfil\crcr#1\crcr}}$$}}
\def\rta#1{{\fsize{10}\vskip-2\baselineskip\baselineskip=10pt\ff
            \tabskip=2em$$\vbox{\ialign
            {\hfil##&&\quad\hfil##\crcr#1\crcr}}$$}}
\def\btab#1{{\fsize{10}\baselineskip=11pt
             \tabskip=2em$\vbox{\ialign
             {\hfil##&&\quad\hfil##\crcr#1\crcr}}$}}
\def\btam#1#2{\ff\hskip#1mm\btab{#2}}

\let\bta=\rta
\def\trules{\noalign{\vskip2mm\hrule\vskip2mm}}
\def\tab{\ff\hskip\parindent}

%reference abbreviations
\def\aps#1{{\it Appl.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ap#1{{\it Ann.\ Prob.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\apsy#1{{\it Acta Psycho\-logica~}{\bf#1}}
\def\as#1{{\it Ann.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\aism#1{{\it Ann.\  Inst.\ Sta\-tist.\ Math.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ams#1{{\it Ann.\ Math.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\amst#1{{\it Amer.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\amsc#1{{\it Amer.\ Scien\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\arp#1{{\it Annual Rev.\ Psycho\-logy~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bell#1{{\it Bell Systems Tech. J.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\be#1{{\it Bernoulli~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bhk#1{{\it Behaviormetrika~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bisi#1{{\it Bull. Internat.\ Sta\-tist.\ Institute~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bk#1{{\it Bio\-metrika~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bc#1{{\it Bio\-metrics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bjmsp#1{{\it British J. Math.\ Statist.\ Philosophy~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bjps#1{{\it British J. Philosophy Sci~}{\bf#1}}
\def\bsci#1{{\it Behavioral Sci.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\chance#1{{\it Chance~}{\bf#1}}
\def\cm#1{{\it Contemporary Mathematics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\cjs#1{{\it Canadian J. Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\comp#1{{\it Computing~}{\bf#1}}
\def\crasp#1{{\it C.\ R.\ Acad. Sci. Paris~}{\bf #1}}
\def\cstm#1{{\it Comm.\ Sta\-tist. Theory and Methods~}{\bf #1}}
\def\csda#1{{\it Comput. Sta\-tist. and Data Analysis~}{\bf #1}}
\def\cssc#1{{\it Comm.\ Sta\-tist. Simulation and Computation~}{\bf #1}}
\def\ds#1{{\it Decision Sciences~}{\bf #1}}
\def\eca#1{{\it Econo\-me\-trica~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ecj#1{{\it Econometrics Journal~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ecr#1{{\it Econometric Reviews~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ect#1{{\it Econometric Theory~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ee#1{{\it Es\-ta\-dist.\ Espa\-ñola~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ejor#1{{\it  Eur. \ J.~Oper.\  Res.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\fareast#1{{\it Far East J.~Math.~Sci.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ieac#1{{\it IEEE Trans.\ Automatic Control~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ieit#1{{\it IEEE Trans.\ Information Theory~}{\bf#1}}
\def\iepami#1{{\it IEEE Trans.\ Patt. Anal. Mach. Intelligence~}{\bf#1}}
\def\iessc#1{{\it IEEE Trans.\ Systems, Science and Cybernetics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\isc#1{{\it Information Sciences~}{\bf#1}}
\def\isi#1{{\it Internat.\ Sta\-tist.\ Rev.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jae#1{{\it J.~Appl.\ Econometrics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jap#1{{\it J.~Appl.\ Probability~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jas#1{{\it J.~Appl.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jasa#1{{\it J.~Amer.\ Sta\-tist.\ Assoc.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jbus#1{{\it J.~Business~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jbes#1{{\it J.~Business and Economic Statis\-tics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jche#1{{\it J.~Chemometrics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jcgs#1{{\it J.~Comp.\ Graph.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf #1}}
\def\jcsda#1{{\it J.~Comp.~Sta\-tist.\ and Data Analysis~}{\bf#1}}
\def\je#1{{\it J.~Econometrics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jeco#1{{\it J. Economic Theory~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jiact#1{{\it J.~Inst. Actuaries~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jit#1{{\it J.~It. Sta\-tist.\ Soc.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jirss#1{{\it J.~Iranian Sta\-tist.\ Soc.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jma#1{{\it J.~Multivariate Analysis~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jme#1{{\it J.~of Monetary Economics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jmc#1{{\it J.~Multi-Criteria Dec. Analysis~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jf#1{{\it J.~Fore\-casting~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jrssa#1{{\it J.~Roy.\ Sta\-tist.\ Soc.~A~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jrssb#1{{\it J.~Roy.\ Sta\-tist.\ Soc.~B~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jpol#1{{\it J.~Political Economy~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jpsy#1{{\it J.~of Psychology~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jqt#1{{\it J.~ Qual. Technol.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jru#1{{\it J.~Risk and Uncertainty~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jspi#1{{\it J.~Sta\-tist.\ Planning and Inference~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jscs#1{{\it J.~Sta\-tist.\ Computation and Simulation~}{\bf#1}}
\def\jtsa#1{{\it J.~Time Series Analysis~}{\bf#1}}
\def\madrid#1{{\it Rev.\ Acad.\ Cien\-cias Madrid~}{\bf#1}}
\def\mafi#1{{\it Mathematical Finance~}{\bf#1}}
\def\me#1{{\it Metron~}{\bf#1}}
\def\mk#1{{\it Metrika~}{\bf#1}}
\def\msci#1{{\it Manag.\ Sci.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\mst#1{{\it Math.\ Scientist~}{\bf#1}}
\def\nat#1{{\it Nature~}{\bf#1}}
\def\op#1{{\it Operations Research~}{\bf#1}}
\def\paris#1{{\it Pub.\ Inst.\ Sta\-tist.\ Univ.\ Paris~}{\bf#1}}
\def\pcps#1{{\it Proc.\ Camb.\ Phil.\ Soc.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\phil#1{{\it Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. London A~}{\bf#1}}
\def\pieee#1{{\it Proc.\ of the IEEE~}{\bf#1}}
\def\proy#1{{\it Proc. Roy. Soc. A~}{\bf#1}}
\def\psa#1{{\it Psychometrika~}{\bf#1}}
\def\psybul#1{{\it Psychological Bul.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\questio#1{{\it Qüestiió~}{\bf#1}}
\def\racmad#1{{\it Rev.\ Acad.\ Ciencias de Madrid~}{\bf#1}}
\def\rmcm#1{{\it Rev.\ Mat.\ Univ.\ Complutense de Madrid~}{\bf#1}}
\def\sci#1{{\it Science~}{\bf#1}}
\def\sjs#1{{\it Scandinavian J.\ Sta\-tist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\ska#1{{\it Sankhy$\overline{a}$~A~}{\bf#1}}
\def\skb#1{{\it Sankhy$\overline{a}$~B~}{\bf#1}}
\def\sc#1{{\it Sta\-tist.\ Computing~}{\bf#1}}
\def\scw#1{{\it Social Choice and Welfare~}{\bf#1}}
\def\sasj#1{{\it South African Statist. J.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\sd#1{{\it Statis\-tics and Decisions~}{\bf#1}}
\def\spl#1{{\it Statis\-tics \& Probability Letters~}{\bf#1}}
\def\stsc#1{{\it Sta\-tist.\ Sci.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\st#1{{\it The Sta\-tistician~}{\bf#1}}
\def\stne#1{{\it Sta\-tistica Neerlandica~}{\bf#1}}
\def\stsin#1{{\it Sta\-tistica Sinica~}{\bf#1}}
\def\stat#1{{\it  Sta\-tistica~}{\bf#1}}
\def\stmed#1{{\it  Sta\-tist. in Medicine~}{\bf#1}}
\def\stpa#1{{\it  Stochastic Proc. and Applications~}{\bf#1}}
\def\te#1{{\it Test~}{\bf#1}}
\def\tc#1{{\it Techno\-metrics~}{\bf#1}}
\def\td#1{{\it Theory and Decision~}{\bf#1}}
\def\top#1{{\it Top~}{\bf#1}}
\def\tra#1{{\it Trab.\ Esta\-dist.~}{\bf#1}}
\def\traio#1{{\it Trab.\ Invest.\ Opera\-tiva~}{\bf#1}}
\def\qu#1{{\it Q{\"u}estiió~}{\bf#1}}

\let\ss=\stsc

\def\trepn#1#2{{\it Tech. Rep.~}{\bf #1},~#2.}
\def\trep#1{{\it Tech. Rep.},~#1.}
\def\phd#1{Ph.D. Thesis,~#1.}
\def\msc#1{M.Sc. Thesis,~#1.}
\def\this{{\it In this volume}.}
\def\diss{(with discussion). }
\def\appear{(to appear). }

\def\academic{New York: Academic Press}
\def\addison{Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley}
\def\arnold{London: Edward Arnold}
\def\blackwell{Oxford: Blackwell}
\def\california{Berkeley: Univ. California Press}
\def\cambridge{Cambridge: University Press}
\def\chapman{London: Chapman and Hall}
\def\chelsea{New York: Chelsea}
\def\chicago{Chicago: University Press}
\def\columbia{Columbia, SC: University Press}
\def\dekker{New York: Marcel Dekker}
\def\elgar{Brookfield, VT: Edward Elgar}
\def\elsevier{Amsterdam: Elsevier}
\def\dover{New York: Dover}
\def\ellis{Chichester: Ellis Horwood}
\def\griffin{London: Griffin}
\def\irwin{Homewood, IL: Irwin}
\def\kluwer{Dordrecht: Kluwer}
\def\krieger{Melbourne, FL: Krieger}
\def\harvard{Harvard, MA: University Press}
\def\holden{San Francisco, CA: Holden-Day}
\def\holt{Toronto: Holt, Rinehart and Winston}
\def\hopkins{Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press}
\def\ims{Hayward, CA: IMS}
\def\mcgraw{New York: McGraw-Hill}
\def\methuen{London: Methuen}
\def\mit{Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press}
\def\macmillan{London: Macmillan}
\def\morgan{Amsterdam: Morgan-Kaufmann Pub.}
\def\north{Amsterdam: North-Holland}
\def\oxford{Oxford: Oxford University Press}
\def\peter{Gloucester, MA: Peter Smith}
\def\pergamon{New York: Pergamon}
\def\plenum{London: Plenum}
\def\prentice{Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall}
\def\princeton{Princeton: University Press}
\def\reidel{Dordrecht: Reidel}
\def\sage{Beverly Hills, CA: Sage}
\def\siam{Philadelphia, PA: SIAM}
\def\stanford{Stanford: University Press}
\def\springer{Berlin: Springer}
\def\springerny{New York: Springer}
\def\vannostrand{New York: Van Nostrand}
\def\wadsworth{Pacific Drove, CA: Wadsworth}
\def\wiley{Chichester: Wiley}
\def\wileyny{New York: Wiley}

\def\val#1{\ifcase#1
   \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, M.~H.~DeGroot, D.~V.~Lind\-ley and
     A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) Va\-len\-cia: University Press%
    \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics~2}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, M.~H.~DeGroot, D.~V.~Lind\-ley and
     A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.), Ams\-ter\-dam: North-Holland%
    \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics~3}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, M.~H.~DeGroot, D.~V.~Lind\-ley and
     A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press%
    \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics~4}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, J.~O.~Ber\-ger, A.~P.~Dawid and
     A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press%
    \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics~5}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, J.~O.~Ber\-ger, A.~P.~Dawid and
     A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press%
    \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics~6}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, J.~O.~Ber\-ger, A.~P.~Dawid and
     A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) Oxford: University Press%
    \or {\it Bayesian Statis\-tics~7}
    (J.~M.~Ber\-nar\-do, M.~J.~Bayarri, J.~O.~Ber\-ger, A.~P.~Dawid,
     D.~Heckerman, A.~F.~M. Smith  and M.~West, eds.) 
    Oxford: University Press\fi}


\def\berk#1#2{\ifcase#1
   \or {\it Proc. First Berkeley Symp.}
    (J.~Neyman ed.) \california%
   \or {\it Proc. Second Berkeley Symp.}
    (J.~Neyman ed.) \california%
   \or {\it Proc. Third Berkeley Symp.}~{\bf#2}
    (J.~Neyman  and E.~L.~Scott, eds.) \california%
   \or {\it Proc. Fourth Berkeley Symp.}~{\bf#2}
    (J.~Neyman  and E.~L.~Scott, eds.) \california%
   \or {\it Proc. Fifth Berkeley Symp.}~{\bf#2}
    (L.~M.~LeCam and J~Neyman, eds.) \california\fi}

\def\purdue#1#2{\ifcase#1\or
    {\it Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics}
     (S.~S.~Gupta and J.~Yackel, eds.) \academic%
    \or {\it Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics II}
     (S.~S.~Gupta and D. S.~Moore, eds.) \academic%
    \or {\it Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics III}~{\bf#2}
    (S.~S.~Gupta and J.~O.~Berger, eds.) \academic%
    \or {\it Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics IV}~{\bf#2}
    (S.~S.~Gupta and J.~O.~Berger, eds.) \springer%
    \or {\it Statistical Decision Theory and Related Topics V}
    (S.~S.~Gupta and J.~O.~Berger, eds.) \springer\fi}

\def\casebayes#1{\ifcase#1\or
    {\it Case Studies in Bayesian Statis\-tics}
     (C.~Gatsonis, J.~Hodges, R.~Kass and N.~Singpurwalla, eds.)
    \springerny
    \or {\it Case Studies in Bayesian Statis\-tics II}
     (C.~Gatsonis, J.~Hodges, R.~Kass and N.~Singpurwalla, eds.)
    \springerny 
    \or {\it Case Studies in Bayesian Statis\-tics III}
    (C.~Gatsonis, J.~Hodges, R.~Kass, R.~McCulloch, P.~Rossi and
    N.~Singpurwalla, eds.) \springerny
    \or {\it Case Studies in Bayesian Statis\-tics IV}
    (C.~Gatsonis, R.~Kass, B.~Carlin, A.~Carriquiry, A.~Gelman, 
    I.~Verdinelli and M.~West, eds.) \springerny
    \or {\it Case Studies in Bayesian Statis\-tics V}
    (C.~Gatsonis, R.~Kass, B.~Carlin, A.~Carriquiry, A.~Gelman, 
    I.~Verdinelli and M.~West, eds.) \springerny
    \or {\it Case Studies in Bayesian Statis\-tics VI}
    (A.~Carriquiry, A.~Gelman, D.~Higdon, R.~Kass, D.~Pauler and 
    I.~Verdinelli, eds.) \springerny\fi}

\def\innsbruck{{\it Probability and Bayesian Statis\-tics}
    (R.~Viertl, ed.) \plenum}
\def\fbleau{{\it New Developments in the Applications of Bayesian Methods}
    (A.~Aykaç and C.~Brumat, eds.) \north}
\def\india{{\it Bayesian Analysis in Statis\-tics and Econometrics}
    (P.~K.~Goel and N.~S.~Iyengar, eds.) \springer}
\def\louvain{{\it Model Choice}
    (J.-P.~Florens, M.~Mouchart, J.-P.~Raoult and L.~Simar, eds.)
    Brussels: Pub. Fac. Univ. Saint Louis}
\def\waterloo{{\it Foundations of Statistical Inference}
    (V.~P.~Godambe and D.~A.~Sprott, eds.) \holt}

\def\barnard{{\it Bayesian and Likelihood Methods in Statis\-tics and
Econometrics:
    Essays in Honor of George A.~Barnard}
    (S.~Geisser, J.~S.~Hodges, S.~J.~Press and A.~Zellner, eds.) \north}
\def\basu{ {\it Current Issues in Statistical Inference: Essays in
Honor of D.~Basu}.
    (M.~Ghosh and  P.~K.~Pathak eds.) Hayward, CA: IMS}
\def\definetti{{\it Bayesian Inference and Decision Techniques:
    Essays in Honor of Bruno de~Finetti}
    (P.~K.~Goel and A.~Zellner, eds.) \north}
\def\geisser{{\it Modelling and Prediction:
    Essays in Honor of Seymour Geisser}
    (J. C. Lee \etal, eds.) \springerny}
\def\jeffreys{{\it Bayesian Analysis in Econometrics and Statis\-tics:
    Essays in Honor of Harold Jeffreys}
    (A.~Zellner, ed.) \north}
\def\lindley{{\it Aspects of Uncer\-tainty:
    a Tribute to D.~V.~Lindley}
    (P.~R.~Freeman, and A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) \wiley}
\def\neyman{{\it Research Papers in Statis\-tics. Festschrift for J.~Neyman}
   (F.~N.~David, ed.) \wileyny}
\def\savage{{\it Studies in Bayesian Econometrics and Statis\-tics:
    in Honor of Leonard J.~Savage}
    (S.~E.~Fienberg and A.~Zellner, eds.) \north}
\def\lindley{{\it Aspects of Uncertainty:
    a Tribute to D.~V.~Lindley}
    (P.~R.~Freeman and A.~F.~M. Smith, eds.) \wiley}
\def\zellner{{\it Bayesian Analysis in Statis\-tics and Econometrics:
    Essays in Honor of Arnold~Zellner}
    (D.~A.Berry, K.~M.~Chaloner and J.~K.~Geweke, eds.) \wileyny}

\def\bayesian{{\it Bayesian Inference}
    (N.~G.~Polson and G.~C.~Tiao, eds.) \elgar}
\def\induction{{\it Probability, Induction and Statis\-tics}
      \wileyny}
\def\montecarlo{{\it Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice}
    (W.~R.~Gilks, S.~Richardson  and D. J. Spiegelhalter, eds.) \chapman}
\def\robust{{\it Robustness of Bayesian Analysis}
    (J.~B.~Kadane, ed.) \north}
\def\scientific{{\it Scientific Inference, Data Analysis and Robustness}
    (G.~E.~P. Box, T.~Leonard and C.~F.~Wu,  eds.) \academic}
\def\survey{{\it New Developments in Survey Sampling}
    (N.~L.~Johnson and H.~Smith~Jr., eds.) \wileyny}
\def\subjective{{\it Studies in Subjective Probability}
    (H.~E.~Kyburg and H.~E~Smokler, eds.) \dover}
\def\timeseries{{\it Bayesian Analysis of Time series and Dynamic Models}
    (J.~C.~Spall, ed.) \dekker}

\def\encyc#1{{\it Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences}~{\bf#1}
    (S.~Kotz,  N.~L.~Johnson and C.~B.~Read, eds.) \wileyny}
\def\encss#1{{\it Internat. Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences}~{\bf#1}.
     \macmillan}
\def\breaks#1{{\it Breakthroughs in Statis\-tics}~{\bf#1}
    (S.~Kotz and N.~L.~Johnson, eds.) \springer}
\def\multiv#1{{\it Multivariate Analysis}~{\bf#1}
    (P.~R.~Krishnaiah, ed.) \academic}
\def\multivn#1{{\it Multivariate Analysis}~{\bf#1}
    (P.~R.~Krishnaiah, ed.) \north}
\def\bayesbiostat{{\it Bayesian Biostatistics}~
    (Berry, D.~A. and Stangl, D.~K., eds.) \dekker}
\def\handbook{{\it Bayesian Thinking: Modeling and Compu\-tation,
    Handbook of Statis\-tics}~{\bf  25}
    (Dey, D.~K. and Rao, C.~R., eds.) \elsevier}

\def\diss{(with discussion). }
\def\dissE{(con discusi—n). }
\def\appear{(to appear). }
\def\appeardiss{(to appear, with discussion). }

\standard

%\dump