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Persistence and nonlinearity in gendered labour market dynamics - PENGEN

Reference of the Group:

GIUV2026-040

 
Description of research activity:
The main objective of the Group is to analyze how men and women experience economic cycles differently in terms of employment, wages, and unemployment, an underexplored dimension in macroeconomics and labor economics. Evidence shows that labor market variables respond differently by gender due to factors such as sectoral segregation and labor force participation. Ignoring these differences leads to erroneous predictions and ineffective policies. Although previous studies have identified relevant gender patterns, none simultaneously integrates persistence, nonlinearity, complexity, and asymmetries in labor market dynamics. We aim to fill this gap through a unified analytical framework that improves the understanding of gender inequality. Complementing the macroeconomic analysis, we will incorporate a microeconomic approach based on experimental economics that allows us to isolate the individual mechanisms underlying gender-differentiated labor market dynamics. In a controlled environment, job search and wage acceptance decisions under uncertainty will be analyzed, replicating situations analogous to phases of expansion and weak or negative growth in the business cycle. This...The main objective of the Group is to analyze how men and women experience economic cycles differently in terms of employment, wages, and unemployment, an underexplored dimension in macroeconomics and labor economics. Evidence shows that labor market variables respond differently by gender due to factors such as sectoral segregation and labor force participation. Ignoring these differences leads to erroneous predictions and ineffective policies. Although previous studies have identified relevant gender patterns, none simultaneously integrates persistence, nonlinearity, complexity, and asymmetries in labor market dynamics. We aim to fill this gap through a unified analytical framework that improves the understanding of gender inequality. Complementing the macroeconomic analysis, we will incorporate a microeconomic approach based on experimental economics that allows us to isolate the individual mechanisms underlying gender-differentiated labor market dynamics. In a controlled environment, job search and wage acceptance decisions under uncertainty will be analyzed, replicating situations analogous to phases of expansion and weak or negative growth in the business cycle. This approach makes it possible to assess whether men and women respond differently to identical economic shocks in terms of expected wages, unemployment risk, and search costs, and whether these responses exhibit asymmetry, nonlinearity, and regime dependence consistent with patterns observed at the aggregate level. The experimental evidence generated will provide causal microfoundations for the gender differences identified in employment, wages, and unemployment over the business cycle, allowing us to distinguish between purely structural mechanisms and differentiated behavioral responses to adverse shocks. Integrating this microexperimental approach with aggregate econometric analysis will contribute to a more comprehensive analytical framework for understanding the transmission of economic cycles in the labor market, improving the specification of gender-sensitive macroeconomic models and strengthening the empirical basis for the design of countercyclical policies and labor protection systems tailored to differentiated recovery patterns.
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Web:

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Scientific-technical goals:
  • To identify and model asymmetries, nonlinearities and persistence in gender-specific labour market dynamics over the business cycle.
  • To develop an integrated econometric framework to improve the specification of gender-sensitive macroeconomic models.
  • To analyse, using experimental economics, job search and wage acceptance decisions of men and women under different scenarios of economic uncertainty.
  • To assess whether individual responses to identical economic shocks differ by gender and are consistent with patterns observed at the aggregate level.
  • To provide causal microfoundations that allow distinguishing between structural mechanisms and behavioural responses in gender inequalities in the labour market.
  • To contribute to the design of more effective labour market and countercyclical policies tailored to gender-differentiated impacts and recovery patterns.
 
Research lines:
  • Gender and heterogeneity in the transmission of business cycles to the labor market..This research line examines how business cycles are transmitted to the labor market in a heterogeneous manner across genders, analyzing differences in employment, wages, and unemployment over the various phases of the cycle. Its objective is to identify the mechanisms, both structural and institutional, that explain why men and women respond differently to identical macroeconomic shocks, and to assess the implications of this heterogeneity for macroeconomic modeling and the design of gender-sensitive labor and macroeconomic policies.
  • Non-linear, asymmetric and dependent labor dynamics of the economic regime..This line of research studies the evolution of employment, wages, and unemployment using approaches that capture nonlinearities, asymmetries, and regime changes throughout the economic cycle. The objective is to identify differences in labor market adjustment mechanisms between expansionary and recessionary phases, as well as to analyze the persistence and intensity of the effects of macroeconomic shocks. This approach contributes to a better characterization of the complexity of labor dynamics and to the improvement of macroeconomic models used for labor market analysis and economic policy design.
  • Experimental microfoundations of job search and wage determination..This research line employs experimental economics methods to analyze the individual mechanisms underlying job search and wage acceptance decisions under uncertainty. In controlled environments, it examines how individuals form wage expectations, assess unemployment risk, and face search costs across different economic contexts. The objective is to provide causal microfoundations that explain aggregate patterns in employment and wages, and to identify potential behavioral differences in responses to economic shocks and changes in labor market conditions.
  • Micro-macro integration for the design of gender-sensitive labor and macroeconomic policies..This research field focuses on integrating microeconomic and macroeconomic evidence to improve the analysis and design of gender-sensitive labor and macroeconomic policies. By combining insights from individual-level data, experimental evidence, and aggregate econometric analysis, it aims to understand how individual decisions and gender heterogeneity translate into aggregate outcomes over the business cycle. The ultimate objective is to strengthen the empirical foundations of countercyclical policies and labor protection systems that account for differentiated adjustment and recovery patterns between men and women.
 
Group members:
Name Nature of participation Entity Description
JORGE BELAIRE FRANCHDirectorUniversitat de València
Research team
LUCIA DESAMPARADOS PINAR GARCIAMemberUniversitat de València
PRISCILA ESPINOSA ADAMEZCollaboratorUniversitat de València
IVAN VICENTE CARRIONCollaboratorUniversitat de València
OLGA ROS HERNANDEZCollaboratorUniversitat de València
OLGA ROS HERNANDEZCollaboratorUniversitat de València
JOSEP MIQUEL NAVARRO ORTIZCollaboratorUniversitat de València
 
CNAE:
  • -
 
Associated structure:
  • Economic Analysis
 
Keywords:
  • PUBLIC POLICIES
  • ECONOMIC POLICY
  • GLOBALISATION
  • GENDER
  • BUSINESS CYCLE
  • REGIME CHANGES
  • CYCLE ASYMMETRIES
  • PERSISTENCE
  • TECHNOLOGY
  • WAGE INEQUALITY
  • BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT
  • SOCIO-LABOR POLICIES
  • BUDGETS